Healthed CPD · Brisbane · 5 Sep 2026

Cardiovascular and diabetes management

Menopause hormone therapy myths and facts, lipid targets and residual risk, and why SGLT2 inhibitors sit early in type 2 care — a long multi-part session boiled down for Australian general practice.

Speakers: Professor Charlotte (GP educator; Otter surname unclear) · Professor Rod/Rob (O&G; Otter) · Associate Professor Karam Kostner (cardiology/lipids; Otter) · Ralph (GP educator; Otter surname unclear) · Dr Ted Woo (endocrinology; Otter also “Ted Bu”) · ~118 min Otter · teal theme

This was a Saturday Healthed programme in Brisbane covering three linked fireside and lecture blocks: midlife women’s cardiovascular risk and menopausal hormone therapy (MHT), secondary-prevention lipid management with residual risk, and when SGLT2 inhibitors are the better early option in type 2 diabetes. Names below follow Otter and the stage introductions — surnames that sounded garbled are not invented.

1. Menopause, MHT and cardiovascular risk

Professor Charlotte framed a myths-and-facts chat with Professor Rod/Rob (O&G). The opening question: why is women’s cardiovascular risk lower during reproductive life, then rises?

Menopause itself — not only age

Risk rises with age for everyone, but several studies show menopause adds risk beyond chronological age. Framingham followed a Massachusetts town for decades (nearly 3,000 women) after Roosevelt’s untreated hypertensive stroke death in 1945 highlighted how little was then known. Swan (Study of Women Across the Nation) and New South Wales 45 and Up data published more recently were cited: if usual Australian menopause age is about 51–53, each year earlier menopause raised CVD risk by about 3%. That meant roughly ~36% higher risk after premature menopause and ~15% after early menopause — and later menopause looked protective by the same arithmetic.

Menopause timing and CVD risk (as taught) ~3% higher CVD risk per year earlier than usual menopause age (~51–53) Premature ~+36% risk Early ~+15% risk Usual / later baseline / lower Relative CVD risk
Concept diagram from the talk’s Framingham / Swan / 45 and Up framing — earlier menopause, higher CVD risk relative to age peers still menstruating.

How estrogen protects vessels

Perimenopause is when the surrogates move

Swan follow-up (thousands of women, now into older age) showed body composition and metabolic changes accelerate around the final menstrual period: visceral and total fat accumulation rises from about two years before to two years after; LDL rises from about a year before to a year after then plateaus; metabolic syndrome rate accelerates and does not really slow; carotid intima-media thickness rate jumps about a year before the final period for ~two years. Things go wrong while hormones are fluctuating — not only when estrogen is at rock bottom. FSH may matter for endothelium, but they stressed that remains uncertain.

Does MHT prevent those changes?

Rod’s answer: we don’t know. That is still a hypothesis. American Heart Association: menopause is a CVD risk factor; for premature ovarian insufficiency / premature menopause, prescribe hormone therapy until the usual menopause age even without vasomotor symptoms to reduce CVD risk. They do not say the same for natural-age menopause.

Observational hope vs WHI reality

Decades of observational work (Lipid Research Clinic, Leisure World, Nurses’ Health Study) mostly suggested benefit when hormones started near symptoms / final period. Framingham’s self-reported angina endpoint was flagged as a weak outlier — women’s ischaemic symptoms often differ from classic angina, and reflux can be mislabelled.

Women’s Health Initiative tested whether hormones reduce CVD in allegedly healthy postmenopausal women. Surrogates looked promising (less upper-body adiposity and insulin resistance, less type 2 diabetes, lower LDL — though triglycerides rose on oral hormones; coronary calcium lower after >5 years estrogen alone). Hard endpoints: with conjugated estrogen + MPA there was more stroke and PE during the intervention; no clear increase in CHD/MI; all-cause mortality unchanged; absolute risks lower in ages 50–59. After long follow-up, CV risks returned toward baseline. Estrogen-alone pointed more to the progestogen problem (synthetic MPA binding androgen/glucocorticoid receptors). Long-term follow-up of women 50–59 who took estrogen alone for ~7 years then were followed ~20 years showed fewer CHD/MI events (~11 fewer per 10,000 women per year) — modest, not “earth-shattering.”

Regulatory / society message from the stage

Despite positive observational stories, WHI did not show large CV primary-prevention benefit. Societies and regulators still say: do not use hormone therapy for primary or secondary prevention of CVD. Absolute harm of even oral hormones was described as very low; breast cancer signal not seen until ≥~5 years. Transdermal routes avoid the oral VTE signal they discussed — so symptom relief can be a comparatively safe intervention when chosen carefully.

Prescribing for symptoms when CVD is present or possible

Can women with established CVD take MHT for bothersome vasomotor symptoms? Rod: yes, mostly — after careful clinical assessment and risk estimation. Charlotte cautioned that the Australian CVD risk calculator gives five-year risk and can label a 45-year-old “low risk” while lifetime risk is high. High BP, high LDL and overweight still need action even if the five-year number looks calm. The calculator asks ethnicity, First Nations status, mental illness, premature family CVD, CAC, renal disease — but misses obstetric history (preeclampsia, GDM, preterm birth, recurrent miscarriage / stillbirths) and often under-weights COPD (COPD patients more often die of heart attack than of COPD itself — same pattern as CKD).

ASCVD risk (as discussed)MHT for vasomotor symptoms
LowOral or transdermal acceptable; more practices defaulting to transdermal
Intermediate (~5–10% major event / 10 y as stated)Prefer transdermal (lower VTE)
HighPrefer non-hormonal options (e.g. neurokinin-3 receptor antagonist mentioned); if unavoidable, transdermal with multidisciplinary shared decisions

Micronised progesterone: well absorbed vaginally (same molecule as IVF vaginal product); night dosing if oral because of sedation (100 mg mornings → sleepy all day). Alternate-day vaginal use may be enough for endometrial effect — side-effect differences vs oral not fully settled. Synthetic progestogens differ from progesterone mainly via receptor binding.

Summary they gave: estrogen has multiple CV-protective mechanisms; starting when arteries are younger/healthier may help later CHD and mortality — but they do not support MHT for primary or secondary CV prevention yet. Assess CVD risk before starting when disease is suspected.

2. Lipid management, LDL targets and residual risk

Associate Professor Karam Kostner (UQ / Mater cardiology, preventive lipids) with GP educator Ralph walked a secondary-prevention case: Mr R, 65, hypertension, ACS a year ago with stents, premature family history (father AMI 58; brother later), tried atorvastatin 40 then rosuvastatin 20 for myalgia, now on ezetimibe 10 mg, perindopril 10 mg, aspirin 100 mg — LDL swinging around ~3.6. Not a cardiologist’s happy place.

What to look at on the lipid report

Familial combined hyperlipidemia vs FH

Mr R’s high cholesterol and triglycerides pattern fits familial combined hyperlipidemia — said to be present in roughly 40% of coronary-care presentations. Pancreatitis risk rises when triglycerides exceed ~10; diabetes, alcohol, hypothyroidism, hormones (link back to the menopause talk), and very high saturated-fat / ketogenic patterns can push levels up. It is polygenic — no single genetic test. Treat the LDL hard regardless.

Familial hypercholesterolemia is different: ~1 in 250 Australians, high LDL (often >4–5) with early family disease. Dutch Lipid score >6 can support FH without a mutation found; many true FH have scores of 3–4; elevated Lp(a) can inflate the cholesterol pool. Dutch score mainly helps the high-LDL + early-family phenotype (and drug access), not combined hyperlipidemia.

Lp(a) is not inside your LDL number

LDL reports cholesterol in the LDL fraction; Lp(a) is a separate, highly atherogenic, genetic particle. Testing often costs $50–70 out of pocket unless in a public Queensland pathway. Use it to reclassify intermediate risk and treat other factors more aggressively (similar logic to a calcium score). Best prediction combines traditional factors + CAC + Lp(a). A large Lp(a)-lowering trial (pelacarsen) press release overnight relative to the talk had failed its primary endpoint — so for now Lp(a) remains a risk marker; lowering it has not yet proven hard-outcome benefit in that first large trial.

Secondary prevention lipid cascade (as discussed) LDL first Target ~1.4 Statin + ezetimibe Early after ACS PCSK9 if needed Keep orals on Residual TG / Lp(a) Markers they emphasised • TG >1.7 mmol/L → residual CV risk (atherogenic remnants); >10 → pancreatitis / microcirculation • Lp(a): genetic, not in LDL result; intensify other Rx — first large lowering trial press release negative • High-dose EPA (Vascepa): REDUCE-IT-style benefit; PBS streamlined authority for qualifying patients
Flow matching the Kostner/Ralph discussion: drive LDL down first (often statin + ezetimibe early post-ACS), escalate to PCSK9 when eligible, then address residual triglyceride / Lp(a) risk.

Combination early, targets lower

Ezetimibe is cheap (~$10 private), effective with a low-dose statin or PCSK9, and has outcome data in combinations. Authority friction for ezetimibe has eased. Queensland public discharge planning discussed recommending high-intensity statin plus ezetimibe from the start when admission LDL is high after ACS — same cost/side-effect envelope as statin alone, two metabolic pathways blocked, better chance of a low LDL target. International practice and emerging Australian Heart Foundation guidance were said to be moving that way. Message: after ACS, combination often makes sense irrespective of the first outpatient result; lower LDL is better.

Secondary-prevention target discussed as 1.4 (many still thinking 1.8). European-style very high risk (polyvascular, recurrent events, multivessel, FH) may aim <1. Imaging and outcome trials: lower LDL → more soft-plaque regression / less progression. Genetics (PCSK9 loss-of-function) and multi-year trials: very low or even near-undetectable LDL without neurocognitive harm signal — “no such thing as too low” for high-risk patients. Primary prevention / newly menopausal women with rising LDL do not all need 1.4 — 1.8 can be acceptable when arteries have not had lifelong bombardment.

Statin intolerance and PCSK9

Real-world intolerance ~10% (trials lower because they exclude prior intolerance, older patients, fibrate users). Rechallenge often fails to reproduce pain (~1 in 3). Practical ladder: try pravastatin; or very low rosuvastatin three times weekly + daily ezetimibe (~30–40% LDL drop); then PCSK9. Never stop tolerated ezetimibe/statin when starting PCSK9 — LDL rebounds and you lose additive benefit. Evolocumab every 2 weeks (most data) vs inclisiran every 6 months (adherence-friendly). PBS criteria discussed: significant vascular disease with LDL >1.8; FH primary prevention with LDL >5; enhancement factors including diabetes age ≥60 after ACS. Under-prescribed; GPs can prescribe in conjunction with a specialist. If LDL 1.7 on max tolerated oral therapy and not PBS-eligible, private PCSK9 (~$4,000/year) only if the patient can afford it.

Diet, EPA, fibrates, inflammation

3. When are SGLT2 inhibitors the better option?

Dr Ted Woo (RPA Diabetes Centre endocrinology; Otter also “Ted Bu”) argued against the magazine narrative that GLP-1s are the only diabetes answer. Supply shortages followed off-label popularity. Look at guidelines instead.

Guidelines and PBS put SGLT2 early

Outcome data they summarised

EMPA-REG OUTCOME: empagliflozin vs placebo reduced 3-point MACE; ~40% lower CV death; ~35% fewer HF hospitalisations; ~40% less new nephropathy — first diabetes drug to show CV-death superiority in that design. Dapagliflozin broadly similar for MACE/HF/renal though CV-death alone differed. Dedicated HF trials: benefit in both HFrEF and HFpEF — first agents to move the HFpEF “graveyard.” Dedicated kidney trials (e.g. EMPA-KIDNEY): ~50% slower eGFR decline, with and without diabetes.

SGLT2 multi-organ benefits (lecture framing) SGLT2 early use Heart / MACE CV death · HF hosp. HFrEF + HFpEF first HFpEF wins Kidney ~50% slower eGFR fall Glucose · weight ~2–5 kg · mostly fat Do not “save” until complications — largest dialysis delay when started earlier
Empagliflozin/dapagliflozin outcome themes from the talk: atherosclerotic events, both HF phenotypes, kidney protection, plus glucose and modest fat-mass weight loss.

Don’t save them for “later”

SGLT2s were built as glucose-lowering drugs. Vs sitagliptin in uncomplicated type 2, higher-dose empagliflozin lowered HbA1c more. Weight: typically ~2–3 kg; with higher baseline weight and longer follow-up, averages around 5 kg — ~90% from fat mass (calories lost as urinary glucose). Mortality curves in EMPA-REG widened more in younger patients. EMPA-KIDNEY extrapolation: starting at eGFR 20 delayed dialysis ~1.9 years; starting near eGFR 85 without albuminuria extrapolated to ~26 years delay — never too late, and never too early.

Extra signals (not current indications)

Fatty liver progression may slow beyond weight loss alone. Uricosuric effect — roughly halved uric acid and gout flares in cited data — interesting but not a gout indication yet.

When not to use

UTIs: randomised trials/meta-analyses have not shown increased UTI with SGLT2s — genital thrush is the infection signal. UTIs are common in diabetes; coincidence is easy to misattribute.

Both SGLT2 and GLP-1 when you can

Not either/or. PBS diabetes rules push switch rather than dual listing — practical workarounds discussed: put GLP-1 on the diabetes PBS path and find HF or renal PBS criteria for SGLT2 (clinical HF; low enough eGFR / high enough ACR), or private SGLT2 (~$50; splitting tablets mentioned as a cost hack to approximate prior PBS co-pay). Hypoglycaemia risk of metformin + SGLT2 is very low.

Case Matthew: 58, accountant, 6 years type 2 on metformin, HbA1c 6.7%, BMI 28, controlled HTN/dyslipidaemia, family CHD, ex-smoker, Australian 5-year CV risk 10% (high). Old PBS blocked SGLT2 because A1c <7%; new rules allow SGLT2 + metformin first-line for high CV risk regardless of A1c — empagliflozin 10 mg or dapagliflozin 10 mg daily as examples named on stage.

Clinic takeaways

  1. Menopause is a CV risk amplifier — especially if early. Treat vasomotor symptoms after risk assessment; prefer transdermal as risk rises. Do not sell MHT as proven heart prevention.
  2. Five-year calculators under-tell lifetime risk in midlife women — still fix BP, LDL, weight; ask obstetric and COPD history the tool misses.
  3. LDL first, combination early after ACS — statin + ezetimibe; escalate to PCSK9; keep tolerated orals on. Target ~1.4 in secondary prevention as discussed.
  4. Residual risk: TG >1.7 and Lp(a) as markers; high-dose EPA where PBS-eligible; fibrates mainly for TG >10 or microvascular niches.
  5. SGLT2 early in type 2 for glucose, weight, HF phenotypes, and kidney protection — don’t wait for complications; combine with GLP-1 via HF/renal or private pathways when dual diabetes listing blocks you.

Companion pages

All Dr Kotha CPD pages · cardiovascular-diabetes.drkotha.com · teal theme